In addition, participation in the elections stands at 65% of all eligible voters, the highest since 1908.
President-elect Joe Biden’s triumphant count approaches the record for 80 million votes as Democratic strongholds continue to count ballots and the 2020 elections break turnout records.
Biden has already set the record for the most votes for a winning presidential candidate and President Donald Trump has too set a record highest number of votes for a losing candidate. With more than 155 million votes counted and the states of California and New York still in the counting process, turnout stands at 65% of all eligible voters, the highest since 1908 according to data from The Associated Press and the site. US Electoral Project
Biden’s rising count and his advantage in the popular vote – almost 6 million votes– takes place as Trump increases his unfounded insistence that he actually won the election and as his campaign committee and supporters intensify an uphill legal fight to prevent or delay certification of the results, which could annul the votes of many citizens.
“There is a lot of noise because Donald Trump is a bull carrying his own china case with him,” said Douglas Brinkley, a presidential historian at Rice University. “Once the noise subsides it will be clear that Biden had a very convincing victory.”
Biden currently has an advantage in the Electoral College of 290 a 232. But this does not include voters in Georgia, where Biden beats Trump in 0.3 percentage points while performing a manual count. The Associated Press has not predicted the final tally, but if his lead holds, Biden will win the Electoral College by 306-232 votes, the same margin as Trump did in 2016. At the time Trump described it as a “landslide victory.”
The current president sealed that victory with 77,000 votes in three hotly contested states, while Biden’s margin would be slightly narrower – about 45,000 votes in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin.
However, that tighter victory remains decisive according to the rules of election law, says Rick Hasen, a professor at the University of Irvine and a voting expert.
While Biden’s margins in states such as Arizona and Wisconsin appear slim – between 12,000 and 20,000 votes – such differences are by no means narrow enough to be considered likely to trigger a recount or lawsuit. Counts usually modify the total only by a few hundreds of votes. In 2000, the Florida recount and the legal battle for the White House were sparked by a margin of 537 votes.
“If we talk about it being close enough to be within what those of us on the ground call the litigation margin, this does not fall within that margin,” says Hasen.
Timothy Naftali, a presidential historian at New York University, compared the margins of the popular vote and the Biden Electoral College, which keep growing, with those of every presidential election winner since 1960. His finding: Biden’s victory is right in the middle: it is tighter than sweeping wins like Barack Obama’s in 2008 or the landslide re-election of Ronald Reagan in 1984, but broader than Trump’s victory in 2016 or either of George W. Bush’s.
The closest analogy is the reelection of Obama, who won by about the same margin that Biden has now.
“Did anyone think that 2012 was a narrow win? No,” Naftali said.
Despite that, Trump and his allies continue to try to stop certification election, in a prolonged attempt to deny states the ability to designate voters to support Biden. These attempts have very little chance of success, but reached a new point this week when two Republican members of Michigan’s largest county canvassing board managed to block the certification of votes there Tuesday night. After a protest they allowed the certification to continue, but it was a sign of how deep they have penetrated Trump’s unsubstantiated claims of massive fraud.
In fact, argues Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who keeps track of votes for the US Election Project site, Biden’s relatively narrow victories in contested states show a different story than the one driving the election. President.
Democrats worry that the gap between the popular vote and Electoral College accounts will grow as Democratic voters flock to the seacoasts and out of contested states. That dynamic could make it difficult for them to win congressional elections, creating a lasting disadvantage when it comes to moving forward on policy.
“If anything the data reveals here, it’s how the system is going against Democrats, not against Trump,” McDonald observes.