The government is resisting a general lockdown like the one it imposed in March. But the measures taken in this second wave have not yielded the expected results.
In Italy they do not know how to impose a total quarantine and what to do with the oldest: isolate them and reduce the dead or abandon them and save the youngest if they fall ill from the coronavirus.
While the virus spreads fast and deadly, in Italy they are discussing when to impose the confinement and if it should be total, when the waiting time ended two weeks ago and those who already discard soft options as ineffective.
The authorities reported this Saturday that 1,758 new infections and 297 deaths were registered in the last 24 hours. This is a drastic increase and a new record for daily cases so far in the pandemic.
Government is reluctant to implement a quarantine like the one imposed at the beginning of the first phase, on March 10, which lasted 72 days, it was very rigid and had great success in minimizing the curve of the epidemic.
That epic cost the loss of 10% of the national wealth. The economy has recovered well, but the economic sectors that weigh heavily, especially industrial and exporters, are influencing to prevent thousands of activities from having to be closed again for a quarantine.
It is incredible how much wise scientists debate what to do with the older ones, because Of the 38,000 dead since the pandemic began on February 21, the vast majority were over 65 years of age. Isolating them in a special quarantine would reduce the number of deaths, alleviate the battle against Covid-19, they explain.
On the other hand, the hypotheses inspired by the terrible reality of March and April are reborn, in the first phase, when the lack of intensive care positions forced doctors to choose who to try to save and who to let die.
There were thousands of cases and a good part are still clandestine of the virus, because they were never recognized as deceased by the epidemic. They died at home and are not listed as victims of Covid-19. The Italian justice investigates the complaints of the relatives.
So many funeral discussions show that confusion reigns, although the government reaffirms that it must fight to save everyone. But the data is pressing.
On Friday 30 there were more than 31 thousand infected daily, which amounted to less than a thousand a month earlier, at the end of September. The virus multiplies exponentially and three packages of partial measures taken by the government in these days have not eased the punishment to a population frightened to terror.
Deaths rise at a rate of more than 200 every 24 hours, seriously ill patients in intensive care who are already in crisis of care add up to 1,740 when in the summer they had dropped to less than a hundred. Now the ghost of April 3 returns, at the time of the maximum peak of the first phase of the epidemic, when there were 4068 patients in a single day and there were more than 900 deaths per day.
The virus mainly hits the Northwest. There are eleven “high risk” regions that have entered level four. Lombardy alone is about to reach ten thousand cases a day, with the crisis concentrated in Milan, the second in Italy and one of the richest metropolitan areas in Europe.
But the alarm rates are huge in Piedmont, Veneto, Liguria, Emilia, Romania. Level 4 of worst risk, which forces to “close everything” to immobilize and isolate the population, also hits with contagion levels higher than 1.5 (more than 2 in the case of Lombardy), when normality is RT1, that is, an infected person has the capacity to infect a person.
The speed of transmission of contagion is increasing. Another eight regions, where Rome and Naples are located, respectively the first and third metropolitan areas of the country, suffer from the rise of the virus at a level that guarantees them to reach the eleven main victim regions.
There is an urgent need for “a drastic reduction in physical interactions between people, in order to alleviate pressure on health services,” reflects the government. The Higher Institute of Health considers it “essential” that the population avoid “all occasions of contact” with people outside the nucleus of the home. “
The advice is “stay home as much as you can.” But the restrictions so far, in that plane, almost do not exist. The night curfew implemented in the country is applied from twelve at night to five in the morning, when almost everyone sleeps. Critical contacts occur on public transport, at work, on the street during the day, in schools.