The MAS formula would obtain 26.2% (37.3% without nulls or blanks), ahead of Carlos Mesa’s 17.1%. The interim president, Jeanine Áñez, is in third position with 10.4%. To avoid the second round, you have to get 40% plus 10 points of difference with the second.
The candidate for the presidency of Bolivia for the Movement towards Socialism (MAS), the former minister Luis Arce, continues to lead polls of voting intention after the stoppage forced by the COVID-19 pandemic, although the 26.2 percent predicted by the most recent poll would not be enough to avoid a second round.
The survey, prepared by the company Cies Mori published on the Unitel Network, is the first to be released in Bolivia since March and coincides with the official start of the campaign for the October 18 elections, with which the country aspires to solve the crisis generated after the vote a year earlier.
The October 2019 elections resulted in the resignation of the then president, Evo Morales, who now aspires to run as a senator. The presidential candidacy is in the hands of Arce and former Foreign Minister David Choquehuanca.
The MAS formula would obtain 26.2 percent of the vote, ahead of the 17.1 percent that the survey grants Carlos Mesa, who wants to return to the head of state after a first stage between 2003 and 2005. The interim president, Jeanine Áñez, is in third position with a 10, 4 percent.
For his part, businessman Luis Fernando Camacho, former president of the Santa Cruz Civic Committee, appears behind with 6.9 percent of the votes, according to the newspapers The reason and Duty.
Regarding the valid votes, not counting the blanks, invalid or does not know or respond, Maple has 37.3%, Mesa 24.2%, Áñez 14.4%, Camacho 12.4%, Chi 5.9%, Quiroga 3.8%, Bayá 1.3% and Mamani 0.7%.
“We see more dirty war than proposals ” among the candidates, said political analyst Marcelo Silva of the Universidad Nuestra Señora de La Paz, a private think tank. He criticized in turn that the TSE has not established clear regulations to avoid crowds at times of the pandemic.
“This is the longest-running campaign in the country’s history,” Jorge Dulón, a political scientist and professor at the Bolivian Catholic University, told The Associated Press.
For Dulón, during this time the main candidates were “hit” by different issues. He mentioned that in the case of the interim president, she has had to deal with questions about the way in which she faced the health crisis as a result of the coronavirus and due to complaints of corruption.
“She and her people think that by hardening the speech against Mesa and Arce, she can reach them,” he said. Meanwhile, the analyst estimates that the complaint in which Morales allegedly had a relationship with a minor when he was president “will be reflected in the support for Arce ”.
The criticism of Mesa is for not having a position on social conflicts, added Dulón.
Bolivia is trying to resolve a political crisis after the violent upheaval at the end of last year that left 36 dead and forced Morales to resign after being accused of fraud in the elections in which he was seeking a fourth term. Later, Áñez assumed the presidency on an interim basis with the mission of calling new elections.
Source: Europa Press and AP