After a particularly uncertain election night and an exciting Wednesday, the conclusion of the US presidential election seems to be in sight. An overview of the current state of affairs in the decisive states.
Various American media have attributed the following two swing states from the Rust Belt in the US Midwest to Biden since Wednesday evening.
Wisconsin (10 electorial votes): As far as is known, all votes have been counted and Biden has won. The Trump campaign wants a recount, but these rarely cause the 20,000 votes shift that the president needs to catch up.
Michigan (16): Nearly all votes (97 percent) are counted and Biden is some 61,000 votes ahead of Trump – a lead that grew over the day.
If the Democrat did indeed win there, then this is what the electoral stand would look like.
Biden: 253 – Trump: 214
He then needs 17 electors to reach 270 and take the White House. He will likely reach that number with the following two states.
Arizona (11): With some 86 percent of the votes counted, an estimated 450,000 ballots have yet to be processed – mostly postal votes. Currently, Biden is about 93,000 votes ahead of Trump. It appears that the balance between Democratic and Republican postal votes is more even in Arizona than in other states, but whether that will allow Trump to overtake Biden is questionable. At 3:00 am (Dutch time), a new batch of results is expected from the county with by far the most inhabitants, Maricopa, which includes the city of Phoenix.
Nevada (6): This state will no longer provide updates on the count until Thursday 3 p.m. Dutch time. About 14 percent of the votes are still counted, including many postal votes. Biden is only about 7,500 votes ahead of Trump, but that lead is expected to grow.
If Biden fails, three other states can also provide the clincher.
Georgia (16): About 94 percent of the votes have been counted, and President Trump is in the lead with about 78,000 votes. About 200,000 votes remain. They mainly come from the region around the city of Atlanta, which usually leans convincingly towards the Democrats. The result is therefore still very uncertain. The local electoral council hopes to be ready on Thursday morning (Dutch time) or at least to have made considerable progress.