The director of the Center for the Coordination of Health Alerts and Emergencies, Fernando Simón, assured this Thursday that it is possible to achieve “immunity” against Covid if the appropriate measures are taken. The epidemiologist refers to that “immunity” would be understood “in a broad sense”: “What we mean is people who cannot be infected”, that is to say, who are not “immune only those who have antibodies or have been vaccinated”, also those who “are never exposed to risk”.
This is what he has stated at the press conference this Thursday. The director of CCAES has argued that “the more the mask is used in the places where it is to be used, the more distances are maintained, the more hygiene is maintained and the more careful we are not to leave our stable coexistence groups and the less interaction we have with risk groups, since obviously fewer people are going to be at risk of becoming infected “.
Simón points out that this does not lead to real immunity, but it does lower the contagion curve and control the disease. “I am sure that we can lower the incidence together. Together we can achieve it. Why not try it? “, He adds.” Here I am going to be optimistic about the possibilities of controlling it with everyone. ”
And with this “we will have less risk of home confinements -which are not foreseen for now-, less risk of socio-economic measures with a very large impact, and we will be much happier, “he concluded.
“Not even close, we will be in an immunity close to the group”
On the other hand, the epidemiologist has predicted this Thursday that the percentage of the Spanish population that has been in contact with the virus has been able to go from 5 percent in May to “8, 9 or even 10 percent“but” not much else. “
“Not by far, not by far, we will be in an immunity close to the group”, which would be 60%, the epidemiologist answered in the usual press conference on Thursdays when asked about the estimation of the results that the new wave of the seroprevalence study that will start soon.
Simón has calculated that, at present, although it can be “catch your fingers”, Spain is detecting between “60 and 80% of the real infections that exist”, double what was detected in the first phase of the macro-study, which concluded that the seroprevalence rate was moving at 5.2%. that is, 2.3 million Spaniards had been infected by May.
“The actual positivity could be around 8, 9 even 10, 10 percent, but I don’t think we’ll get much more“, he has predicted not without asking to wait for the study to draw conclusions.
About the availability of vaccines
Regarding the availability of vaccines, he insisted that the first doses will arrive in December or January and that European countries are now discussing which is the population at risk from which to start, while mass vaccination will not be possible until spring. “If we are very lucky, in April and if we are very lucky, in June”, has warned.
The head of CCAES wanted to be prudent when analyzing the latest data, which reveal for the first time a drop in incidence in months because, although for “four or five days” some stabilization has been observed, “there are waves that rise and fall and that we have to assess.”
But yes it has shown optimistic with the possibility that it may be lowA: “I’m sure we can lower the incidence by doing the right things. Among all of us. It has been observed in some communities. Why not try it?” Has invited.