He coronavirus spreads out of control in the UK. The country is at a critical point and at the current rate there may be 50,000 new cases a day in mid-October, “and around 200 deaths a day a month later.” This has been made known, in an exceptional message to the nation, televised live from the official residence of Downing Street, the two main scientific advisers of the British Government, Patrick Wallance and Chris Whitty.
Both have confirmed that a restriction plan, which will last until spring, to bend the contagion curve. Boris Johnson could announce the new measures on Tuesday. “We have to look at this as a problem for the next six months, we have to deal with collectively, “Whitty said.” In an epidemic, we cannot each take our own risk. Risk is also taken on behalf of others. It’s important that we see all of this as something we must do collectively.
According to scientists, the number of infections is currently doubling “more or less every seven days”. On Sunday, the number of new affected by the virus in the last 24 hours was 3,899. “Cases are on the rise, hospitalizations are lagging and what will come next unfortunately will be deaths. All of this can potentially happen very quickly,” said Professor Wallance. “Of course, the challenge now is that these infections do not double every seven days”, something that requires “action, speed and enough” to ensure that the UK does not enter “exponential growth”.
Johnson studies the restrictions he will inevitably have to impose. The prime minister has consulted over the weekend with scientific advisers, but also economic. A new national confinement seems ruled out for now. Since Scotland, the chief minister, Nicola Surgeon, also warned that “additional restrictions will almost certainly be introduced in a matter of days.”