Elon Musk recently said that the real test of his major plans to colonize Mars is simple: will a human settlement on Mars survive if new resources and people on Earth stop coming to the Red Planet?
The reason for Musk’s speculation is related to his vision of the world and the future of mankind. There are a lot of factors at play. Inverse he asked, “Is the acid test, really, that if ships on Earth stop coming for some reason, Mars goes out?” Musk told interviewer Robert Zubrin during the live event – “For whatever reason. It could be trivial or it could be nuclear armageddon, “he added.
Let’s look at some of the questions that this open comment raises. First, Musk recently said that he expects many settlers from Mars to die during the process of long-term travel and settlement on Mars. This is a common theme, from imperialist settlements such as Jamestown or Roanoke to explorers who first crossed Antarctica or sailed across the Pacific Ocean.
How will humans survive on Mars?
But the idea of resupplying ships or lacking them is a key distinction between different schools of thinking about space life. Musk’s supporters are quite literal and optimistic when interpreting his comments about Mars’ plans, but Musk has always planned a steady stream of new traffic to bring in fresh supplies or passengers. And, depending on how technology evolves, those ships could even bring back the waste produced there.
The problem is that they will probably be very rare. The distance between Mars and Earth varies greatly, with the shortest journey expected to take more than six months. This means a lot of pressure to include everything and to edit even the simplest essentials, to maintain the feasibility of useful tasks.
If new supplies come, let’s say generously, a few times a year, that means that the colonists on Mars will already have the mindset of careful use and circular economy. If things don’t work out, settlers could lose access to 3D printing, for example, or to warm the environment.
So what would be the plan?
This is a very difficult question and that is why it is in the foreground. In Star Trek movies, for example, the characters effortlessly recycled the goods back into raw materials. In real life on Earth, we can barely recycle plastic into reusable plastic.
As for what will cause the end of supply deliveries, Inverse suggests Musk’s interest in “Great Filter,” a large-scale event that will either destroy or severely limit almost all life on the planet. So far there have been a handful of major events in the extinction of Earth’s life, from the well-known extinction of dinosaurs to the mass extinction about 250 million years ago.
Experts in the threat of existence have suggested that any of the events could fall on humanity and act as a next “Great Filter”, from a climatic event that kills all living things to, far beyond, the death of the Sun. .
One way or another, the Earth will go. And, like any tech entrepreneur, Musk wants to make sure he has a backup stored elsewhere.