Experts foresee a “catastrophe” scenario in the US due to the coronavirus: more than 600,000 deaths by next January

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It was estimated by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) of the University of Washington in its latest forecast.

As winter approaches, United States health experts warn of the possibility of a catastrophe scenario in the country, with a significant increase in deaths from coronavirus, mainly caused due to the lack of funds from the population.

A possible scenario sees 415,090 deaths in January 2021, indicated the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) of the University of Washington in its latest forecast. The worst-case scenario projects 611,000 deaths for that period.

“When we look at winter with seasonality coming into effect, people become clearly less attentive, you know that the use of masks has decreased, mobility has increased in the nation, you put all that together and it seems that we are going to have a deadly December ahead of us in terms of the number of victims of the coronavirus, “warned the director of IHME , Dr. Christopher Murray.

Despite the dire prediction, President Donald Trump assures that the United States has done things “really well” in the fight against the virus. “I really think we are turning the corner and vaccines are there,” Trump said.

The specialist Anthony Fauci stated in an interview with ABC News than would not you agree with the president’s statements.

“We are stabilizing at about 40,000 cases per day and deaths by about 1,000, “said Fauci, director of the US National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases.

He added that test positivity is increasing in some regions of the country and that people are spending more time indoors due to the cooler weather.

“That’s not good for a respiratory transmitted virus, “he said.

Fauci warned that the country needs to lower the levels “so that when you enter a more precarious situation, like fall and winterDon’t have a situation where you are really at a disadvantage from the beginning. “

According to the reputed specialist, the United States may not return to the life before the coronavirus until the end of next year. However, he was cautiously optimistic that the vaccine could be available by the end of the year.The United States has recorded at least 6.4 million coronavirus infections to date, and the death of more than 193,000 peopleJohns Hopkins University reported today.

Approximately 150,000 of those lives would have been saved if more Americans had worn masks when the coronavirus pandemic began, stressed a health expert.

“If the president (Trump) had said from day one that everyone wear a mask, we would have around 45,000 deaths in this country “said CNN medical analyst Jonathan Reiner, a cardiologist and professor of medicine at George Washington University.

Reiner gave Germany as an example, which managed to manage the pandemic. “They have not been the best. They have not been the worst. They have been good in their response to the pandemic and have had around 10,000 deaths,” he added.

The United States has four times the population of Germany. “So we would have about 45,000 deaths in this country,” he said. “So about 150,000 people would be alive.”

Source: ANSA

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