The Computational Biology BIOCOMSC research team calculated that the vaccine has been injected until April 9 Reduce ocovid-19 deaths by 60% Compared with the situation without such drugs.
This team from the Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC) provided a calculation method of the benefits of vaccination in Catalonia from the beginning of the campaign to this Sunday through Twitter. 1,768,724 doses total One of the three available vaccines against covid-19, approximately 11,000 doses have been given in the past 24 hours.
Now, waiting for the arrival of Jansen vaccine and further increase the immunization rate, 16.8% of the Catalan-speaking population They have received one dose-excluding those under 16-which is 19.9%-and 6.1% have completed the two-dose regimen.
According to BIOCOMSC, the vaccination will not be effective until April 9th (Friday). Between April 20th and 30th, It is guaranteed that the number of deaths will be reduced by 60.3%, the ICU admission rate by 20.5% will be saved, the hospitalization rate will be reduced by 36.9%, and the covid-19 cases will be reduced by 15.2%.
BIOCOMSC clarified that these percentages refer to the level of protection compared to non-vaccination regimens, without taking into account the situation and evolution of the epidemic curve. Therefore, this does not mean that this is a real reduction or reduction in ICU. Died at the end of the month.
“In view of the current situation of vaccinated people, within two to three weeks, we will protect the death variable by 60%. That is to say, our death toll will be 60% less than if we were not vaccinated. ”Researcher BIOCOMSC Clara Platz In the statement to RAC1.
Regarding the situation in the hospital, he warned that this situation had increased. “A lot, about 50%”, The percentage of people who ultimately need to be admitted to the ICU, according to his estimation, “in one to two weeks, the number of beds will reach 600” (today there are 513).
Experts do not rule out this The fourth wave will exceed the peak of 731 critics Two-thirds of Covid-19 were hospitalized from third place and judged that if the growth continues after Easter, the current restrictions (county-level restrictions) may not be enough.