The Group of Computational Biology and Complex Systems (BIOCOMSC) of the Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC) has confirmed that the arrival of cold does not influence a further spread of the coronavirus pandemic, which is currently in a “second explosion” phase.
In their latest report on the evolution of this disease, prepared periodically, the BIOCOMSC and the Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP), which monitor the pandemic data throughout Europe, have stated that the drop in temperatures does not imply further propagation of COVID-19. For this, they have given as an example the differences between Dublin (13ºC average temperature and a rate of spread of the virus of 1.90) and Tallinn (with 9ºC and a speed of 0.77).
In this way, scientists have linked the large increase in cases that European countries have experienced in recent weeks withthe “inability to properly trace positive contacts”, that would make it impossible to interrupt the chains of contagion.
The implementation of severe measures, then, should “reduce the incidence in the coming weeks”, as pointed out by the Catalan scientific team, which had already predicted the second wave of the pandemic in Europe, of which Spain was “the advance party”.