It was coming. EL PERIÓDICO predicted it final Sunday. Catalonia has reached Madrid within the incidence of coronavirus infections. The 2 autonomies have registered 233 instances per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days this Tuesday, based on the each day report of the Ministry of Well being. The velocity with which the Catalan curve was collapsing, thrice quicker than the Madrid one as a result of extra drastic restrictions utilized by the Authorities, predicted the ‘sorpasso’ that after the ‘tie’ will in all probability happen tomorrow.
The information is so good for Madrid and Catalonia as a result of each proceed with the waning virus and already are under the edge of 250 instances that the ‘site visitors gentle’ of Well being established as excessive danger. Though the primary it goes down at an already very small price That might spell stagnation. The autumn in comparison with the day prior to this was only one%.
Catalonia has fallen by 6%, a slower tempo than final week. This slowdown could also be linked to a rise within the velocity of unfold of the virus, the Rt, which has led the Regional Minister of Well being, Alba Vergès, to warn that if this index continues to rise within the coming days, the phases of de-escalation and even reverse it
Results of the completely different restrictions
The comparability between Catalunya Madrid pursuits epidemiologists as a result of it permits consider the outcomes of restrictions of various depth in territories with related traits. Catalonia had a big a part of the actions closed till November 23, when it reopened bars and eating places with a capability of 30% indoors and closed at 9:30 p.m., half an hour earlier than curfew.
In Madrid, the resort trade has remained open with a capability restricted to 50% for 2 months, when the Authorities imposed it. The restrict to shut is midnight, the identical time the curfew begins, additionally imposed by the Govt.
The worth of Madrid’s slower decline has been that its deaths within the second wave have been greater than double than within the first, based on epidemiologists. With information from final Friday, 2,706 in comparison with 1,229.
Restrictions in pressure in Madrid they’re nonetheless extra lax than these of Catalonia, So the logical factor can be that even when the autumn within the contagion curve slows down, it is not going to stagnate or there will probably be any rebound because of the reopening, however solely the following few days will it’s doable to confirm if that is true.
4 different communities have jumped that bar of 250 instances within the final two days. Collectively Madrid and Catalonia kind a gaggle of privileged individuals made up of Extremadura (226), Galicia (231), Murcia (239) and the Valencian Group (249). The one ones which are nonetheless in a greater state of affairs are the island communities, the Canary Islands (78) and the Balearic Islands (178). Though it has not but handed that threshold, the nationwide common is getting nearer, with 265 instances.