According to the analyst, the pressure on Budapest may increase with Biden

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The presidential administration, led by Joe Biden, is widely expected to continue Barack Obama’s foreign policy, which focuses more on global issues, and to break with the flexible, region-specific approach of the Trump administration, he said. to the Index Gábor Csizmadia, an employee of the National Civil Service University.

The Trump administration has dealt with Central and Eastern Europe in the context of the so-called “fight for hearts and minds”,

Washington’s goal was to move their partners to their side specifically politically, which required the flexibility already mentioned, the researcher said.

According to Gábor Csizmadia, if Biden continues Obama’s traditions, it could easily be that the Americans will take Europe under one hat, and Hungary and its region will receive less attention. Of course not necessarily, as it depends on what domestic and foreign policy advisers Biden surrounds himself with and who is promoted to the position of Secretary of State for European Affairs.

A Democratic presidency would be most happy in Western Europe, especially in Berlin, which generally has better relations with Democrats. German Chancellor Angela Merkel is not well off with Donald Trump, and the U.S. president, who left office in January, has ordered the withdrawal of thousands of U.S. troops from Germany without the involvement of Berlin.

Whether Hungary and its region would do well or badly with Biden. One alternative is for small countries in the region to receive less attention and ideological expectations to override practical cooperation. Another possibility is that Biden will pay special attention to Central and Eastern Europe.

– Biden, who once visited our area as his vice-president under Obama in 2009 with his wife, in an interview he indicated that he did not intend to leave the processes taking place in Hungary with others without a word. Published in the Foreign Affairs magazine in writing it also signaled that it would place ideological expectations on America’s allies and those in its sphere of interest.

Gábor Csizmadia points out: under Trump, the US State Department continued its work independently, and its activities were counterbalanced by the White House. With Biden, that may change.

Presumably, the White House would give way to a tougher action by the Washington State Department against Hungary, which it would not counterbalance but support through open channels. For example, he would openly criticize Budapest in speeches, interviews, announcements, or a high-ranking official would write a critical article in an international newspaper.

However, this strategy would not only apply to Hungary, but also to the region. The only question is what would be a Biden government’s priority in Europe.

David Cornstein, Trump’s ambassador to Budapest, who had been politically appointed, left Budapest a week ago. His successor will certainly be appointed by Biden, expected sometime in the first half of next year. In the last good quarter of a century, Americans have sent only politically appointed mission leaders to the Hungarian capital.

(Cover image by Brian Snyder / Reuters)



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